Friday, December 19, 2014

Yellow light



We had a gap up yesterday and I'm still waiting for the pull back to go long at the 202.34.  Never got filled.

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Yellow Light until gap fills. Then Green Light.


Going long today in the SPY but I will wait until we fill the gap.  I have Options Calls waiting at the bottom of the gap to be filled.  The large traders want their fill and will most likely push it down to get filled.  But this is a risk.  I just may pop and not fill.  So we wait and see.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Yellow Light



Did not make a higher high today but we are bouncing off the 5% pull back.  I did get long SPY call options today.  Not sure this is the bottom but giving it a shot. If we push  up tomorrow and close above today's high then you can start buying selective stocks on Thursday.

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Yellow light!



We hit the 5% pull back.  Look for a bounce. When we get a higher high on the daily go long with stops at the low.

Sold my SPY Put option this morning.

Friday, December 12, 2014

Red Light

As we head down look for a bounce next week.  Rides  your shorts down for now.  

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Red Light


Looks like the big player missed the half back short yesterday.  Today we had a second chance to go short.  The big player always what their entry to go short so they pushed the market up to enter short.

Red Light

We may get a bounce on the SPY.  I think some of the large traders missed the Half Back Short and they may push the market up to get a fill at 205.72


Bonds Red Light


Bonds bounced off the Fib 50% ish and ran to the target at -23.6%.  Trading Bonds short.

Short target for bonds is 142 20/32.


This will be a green light. But not yet.


Now, you are looking for this set up on the daily chart.  Large wick at the bottom of the low, with an over sold indicators moving to the up side.  When you get a higher high on a bar and it closes above the previous day, you can start going long in the market.  Start small.  We still will not have a confirmed up trend until it breaks a 61.8 fib from the high to the low of the pull back.

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Red Light!



Expect a pull back to fill some gaps and possibly hit the 5% retracement.  The market is looking for a pull back to buy stocks at a discount.  How much is lower is unknown.  History has the market going higher this time of the year  until about the third week in January.  So I don't expect this to last long.  Get short the major indices as a hedge against your longs is you did not exit our longs.  

Have a list of stocks ready to go long when the market turns up.

Red Light!!!!


Looks like we are going lower.  We got our half back short today on the SPY.  Sold all stock and have a standing order in short on the SPY put option.  Not filled yet.  Look to short the market.

Tuesday, December 9, 2014

Yellow light.


We had a gap fill today.  But I think we may still go lower.  But trade what you see not what you think.  So look for a possible bounce. 

Monday, December 8, 2014

Yellow Light.


This will be a deeper pull back. We have one Red bar and looking for 2 more to the down side.  We will place a Fib from high to low and wait for the pull back then take shorts at the 50% retracement.  If it breaks the 61.8 retracement we will continue our long. If the market moves down we will sell stock and look for shorts.

Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Green light


We got a higher high today and looks like the target is 211.15.  Up we go.

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Yellow Light


Never got a third bar lower today. We did close within the previous days bar.  So that is telling us we are still looking for a third bar lower tomorrow or a bounce higher.  Still long but not strong.  Again wait for the half back short before selling your long positions.




We did get a bounce today and it did break the 61.8 for the short.  So we sit and wait until tomorrow's close.  Still looking for the half back short.


Monday, December 1, 2014

Green Light until !!!

Market is slowing down.  Still Green Light until we get 3 red bars down on the Daily.  We have two for now.  No going long in stock and options.  Still holding what I have.  If we get a 3rd bar down place a fib from highs to lows and look for the half back short at the 50 to 61.8%.  Go short in the major indices with a stop 4 ticks above the 61.8.  Looking for a pull back.  When the half back short triggers remove your long stocks and options from the market. Do not take longs at this time until we break the half back short.

Green Light


Looking a little weak in the markets.  We may get a small pull back to the 2042.80 for a new buy long.  Let the winner run.